**Trader sentiment for Moscow's August 19 high temperature centers on forecasts of 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the clearest edge at 35% implied probability.** Recent model runs from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a high near 20–22°C under mostly overcast skies and light northwest winds, tempered by scattered showers that reduce daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline in solar insolation and typical late-August cooling, where average highs fall from ~23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover fraction, which directly modulates incoming shortwave radiation and surface warming; boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage that could enhance mixing or suppress peaks; and subtle steering flow variations that alter advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2°C day-to-day adjustments as new satellite and sounding data refine boundary conditions before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-to-late August show similar ranges when comparable synoptic setups occur, reinforcing why extremes below 17°C or above 21°C carry minimal market weight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月19日莫斯科的最高溫度？
19°C 35%
18°C 26%
20°C 18%
17°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C or below
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
26%
19°C
35%
20°C
18%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
18°C 26%
20°C 18%
17°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C or below
$1,275 交易量
2%
17°C
$649 交易量
10%
18°C
$892 交易量
26%
19°C
$1,122 交易量
35%
20°C
$2,094 交易量
18%
21°C
$63 交易量
7%
22°C
$24 交易量
2%
23°C
$327 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,555 交易量
<1%
25°C
$425 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$265 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Moscow's August 19 high temperature centers on forecasts of 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the clearest edge at 35% implied probability.** Recent model runs from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a high near 20–22°C under mostly overcast skies and light northwest winds, tempered by scattered showers that reduce daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline in solar insolation and typical late-August cooling, where average highs fall from ~23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C.
Key differentiating factors include cloud cover fraction, which directly modulates incoming shortwave radiation and surface warming; boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage that could enhance mixing or suppress peaks; and subtle steering flow variations that alter advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2°C day-to-day adjustments as new satellite and sounding data refine boundary conditions before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-to-late August show similar ranges when comparable synoptic setups occur, reinforcing why extremes below 17°C or above 21°C carry minimal market weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$8,691結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Moscow's August 19 high temperature centers on forecasts of 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the clearest edge at 35% implied probability.** Recent model runs from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a high near 20–22°C under mostly overcast skies and light northwest winds, tempered by scattered showers that reduce daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline in solar insolation and typical late-August cooling, where average highs fall from ~23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C.
Key differentiating factors include cloud cover fraction, which directly modulates incoming shortwave radiation and surface warming; boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage that could enhance mixing or suppress peaks; and subtle steering flow variations that alter advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2°C day-to-day adjustments as new satellite and sounding data refine boundary conditions before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-to-late August show similar ranges when comparable synoptic setups occur, reinforcing why extremes below 17°C or above 21°C carry minimal market weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,691結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Moscow's August 19 high temperature centers on forecasts of 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the clearest edge at 35% implied probability.** Recent model runs from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a high near 20–22°C under mostly overcast skies and light northwest winds, tempered by scattered showers that reduce daytime heating. This aligns with the seasonal decline in solar insolation and typical late-August cooling, where average highs fall from ~23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover fraction, which directly modulates incoming shortwave radiation and surface warming; boundary-layer moisture and any weak frontal passage that could enhance mixing or suppress peaks; and subtle steering flow variations that alter advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2°C day-to-day adjustments as new satellite and sounding data refine boundary conditions before resolution. Historical analogs for mid-to-late August show similar ranges when comparable synoptic setups occur, reinforcing why extremes below 17°C or above 21°C carry minimal market weight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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