Recent short-range weather model consensus for Guangzhou points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 36°C (43%) and 37°C (31%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in updated forecasts support this range, which sits modestly above the city’s long-term August average high near 33–34°C. Thunderstorm activity noted in some guidance could moderate the exact maximum, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of sharp cooling. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日廣州最高溫度?
36°C 43%
37°C 37%
35°C 10%
38°C 9%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
43%
37°C
37%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C或更高
1%
36°C 43%
37°C 37%
35°C 10%
38°C 9%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
43%
37°C
37%
38°C
9%
39°C
3%
40°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range weather model consensus for Guangzhou points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 36°C (43%) and 37°C (31%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in updated forecasts support this range, which sits modestly above the city’s long-term August average high near 33–34°C. Thunderstorm activity noted in some guidance could moderate the exact maximum, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of sharp cooling. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions