The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 32°C for August 17, 2026, underpins the market's near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time trader consensus backed by capital. Forecasts from the HKO and supporting regional models projected a daily high near this level amid partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers with thunderstorms that limited solar heating and convective buildup. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C averages while incorporating current moisture and cloud influences that cap extremes. Resolution depends strictly on the headquarters station's absolute daily maximum, where even minor timing shifts in rainfall could alter the peak by 1°C. Unlikely challenges include late-day model revisions or localized urban heat effects exceeding observations, though official verification has already converged on this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日香港最高溫度?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$168,388 交易量
$168,388 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$168,388 交易量
$168,388 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 32°C for August 17, 2026, underpins the market's near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time trader consensus backed by capital. Forecasts from the HKO and supporting regional models projected a daily high near this level amid partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers with thunderstorms that limited solar heating and convective buildup. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C averages while incorporating current moisture and cloud influences that cap extremes. Resolution depends strictly on the headquarters station's absolute daily maximum, where even minor timing shifts in rainfall could alter the peak by 1°C. Unlikely challenges include late-day model revisions or localized urban heat effects exceeding observations, though official verification has already converged on this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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