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icon for 8月17日香港最高溫度?

8月17日香港最高溫度?

icon for 8月17日香港最高溫度?

8月17日香港最高溫度?

32°C 100.0%

28°C or below <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$168,388 交易量

32°C 100.0%

28°C or below <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$168,388 交易量

28°C or below

$596 交易量

<1%

29°C

$2,423 交易量

<1%

30°C

$5,546 交易量

<1%

31°C

$34,575 交易量

<1%

32°C

$33,383 交易量

100%

33°C

$40,888 交易量

<1%

34°C

$23,442 交易量

<1%

35°C

$19,538 交易量

<1%

36°C

$6,483 交易量

<1%

37°C

$783 交易量

<1%

38°C or higher

$748 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 32°C for August 17, 2026, underpins the market's near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time trader consensus backed by capital. Forecasts from the HKO and supporting regional models projected a daily high near this level amid partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers with thunderstorms that limited solar heating and convective buildup. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C averages while incorporating current moisture and cloud influences that cap extremes. Resolution depends strictly on the headquarters station's absolute daily maximum, where even minor timing shifts in rainfall could alter the peak by 1°C. Unlikely challenges include late-day model revisions or localized urban heat effects exceeding observations, though official verification has already converged on this threshold.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$168,388
結束日期
2026-08-17
市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 32°C for August 17, 2026, underpins the market's near-certain outcome, reflecting real-time trader consensus backed by capital. Forecasts from the HKO and supporting regional models projected a daily high near this level amid partly cloudy skies, northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers with thunderstorms that limited solar heating and convective buildup. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31°C averages while incorporating current moisture and cloud influences that cap extremes. Resolution depends strictly on the headquarters station's absolute daily maximum, where even minor timing shifts in rainfall could alter the peak by 1°C. Unlikely challenges include late-day model revisions or localized urban heat effects exceeding observations, though official verification has already converged on this threshold.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$168,388
結束日期
2026-08-17
市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月17日香港最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32°C" at 100%, followed by "28°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月17日香港最高溫度?" has generated $168.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月17日香港最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月17日香港最高溫度?" is "32°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月17日香港最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.