**Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources converge on a maximum of 29°C for São Paulo on August 17, 2026, under stable winter conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average 24–28°C but can reach the upper end amid subsidence and dry air masses. Recent weekly outlooks confirm predominantly stable weather across the Southeast with low precipitation risk, supporting the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on 29°C. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than modeled or if observational data from urban stations revises the peak slightly, though current runs show tight clustering around this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月17日聖保羅的最高溫度？
29°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$51,850 交易量
$51,850 交易量
2026-08-17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$51,850 交易量
$51,850 交易量
2026-08-17
22°C or below
$4,951 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,973 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,571 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,034 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,790 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,638 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,774 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,804 交易量
100%
30°C
$4,213 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,716 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,385 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources converge on a maximum of 29°C for São Paulo on August 17, 2026, under stable winter conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average 24–28°C but can reach the upper end amid subsidence and dry air masses. Recent weekly outlooks confirm predominantly stable weather across the Southeast with low precipitation risk, supporting the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on 29°C. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than modeled or if observational data from urban stations revises the peak slightly, though current runs show tight clustering around this threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$51,850結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources converge on a maximum of 29°C for São Paulo on August 17, 2026, under stable winter conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average 24–28°C but can reach the upper end amid subsidence and dry air masses. Recent weekly outlooks confirm predominantly stable weather across the Southeast with low precipitation risk, supporting the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on 29°C. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than modeled or if observational data from urban stations revises the peak slightly, though current runs show tight clustering around this threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,850結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET**Forecast models from agencies like INMET and international sources converge on a maximum of 29°C for São Paulo on August 17, 2026, under stable winter conditions with clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong daytime heating.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where highs average 24–28°C but can reach the upper end amid subsidence and dry air masses. Recent weekly outlooks confirm predominantly stable weather across the Southeast with low precipitation risk, supporting the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability on 29°C. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon convection develops earlier than modeled or if observational data from urban stations revises the peak slightly, though current runs show tight clustering around this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions