Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high in Moscow on August 17, 2026, aligns with official forecasts and early observations from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather. Mid-August conditions feature typical solar insolation moderated by moderate cloud cover and light winds that curb daytime heating, keeping the maximum near the climatological average of 21–23°C without significant heat advection from southerly flows. Model agreement across runs supports this narrow outcome, with surface observations confirming the daily peak under partly cloudy skies. Only an unforecasted clear-sky surge or instrumentation revision could shift the recorded maximum beyond this threshold before final data validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日莫斯科最高溫度?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$42,017 交易量
$42,017 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$42,017 交易量
$42,017 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high in Moscow on August 17, 2026, aligns with official forecasts and early observations from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather. Mid-August conditions feature typical solar insolation moderated by moderate cloud cover and light winds that curb daytime heating, keeping the maximum near the climatological average of 21–23°C without significant heat advection from southerly flows. Model agreement across runs supports this narrow outcome, with surface observations confirming the daily peak under partly cloudy skies. Only an unforecasted clear-sky surge or instrumentation revision could shift the recorded maximum beyond this threshold before final data validation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions