The near-certain market consensus on 27°C as Munich’s daily maximum reflects official observations from the Munich Airport weather station, where temperatures peaked at that precise value amid stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical for mid-August in southern Bavaria. This outcome aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which had projected highs near the upper end of the seasonal 19–27°C range, supported by observed surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover limiting diurnal cooling. Scenarios that could still shift resolution remain highly improbable, such as a late-day measurement revision from station data or an undetected microclimate anomaly at the official site, though historical August variability in the region rarely exceeds 2–3°C from verified maxima once afternoon peaks pass.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日慕尼黑最高溫度?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$227,792 交易量
$227,792 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$227,792 交易量
$227,792 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The near-certain market consensus on 27°C as Munich’s daily maximum reflects official observations from the Munich Airport weather station, where temperatures peaked at that precise value amid stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies typical for mid-August in southern Bavaria. This outcome aligns with regional forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service, which had projected highs near the upper end of the seasonal 19–27°C range, supported by observed surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover limiting diurnal cooling. Scenarios that could still shift resolution remain highly improbable, such as a late-day measurement revision from station data or an undetected microclimate anomaly at the official site, though historical August variability in the region rarely exceeds 2–3°C from verified maxima once afternoon peaks pass.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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