Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日上海最高溫度？
8月19日上海最高溫度？
31°C 46%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 5%
最新
$12,609 交易量
最新
$12,609 交易量
2026-08-19
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
46%
32°C
32%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 5%
最新
$12,609 交易量
最新
$12,609 交易量
2026-08-19
25°C or below
$221 交易量
<1%
26°C
$142 交易量
<1%
27°C
$473 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,298 交易量
2%
29°C
$1,146 交易量
5%
30°C
$3,443 交易量
16%
31°C
$2,211 交易量
46%
32°C
$1,736 交易量
32%
33°C
$700 交易量
5%
34°C
$965 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$273 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,609結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,609結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions