High pressure dominating North Texas is sustaining intense surface heating and minimal cloud cover for Dallas on August 19, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to afternoon highs near 105–106°F amid drier air that reduces evaporative cooling. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability due to the stable ridge, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or subtle moisture advection could shift the peak by 1–2°F. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat anomaly exceeding seasonal normals of 95–96°F, where resolution hinges on official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations at standard shelter height. Traders are pricing the 104–109°F band most heavily because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日達拉斯的最高溫度?
104-105°F 37%
102-103°F 19%
106-107°F 19%
110-111°F 14%
99°F or below
5%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
19%
108-109°F
11%
110-111°F
14%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
4%
116-117°F
1%
118°F or higher
1%
104-105°F 37%
102-103°F 19%
106-107°F 19%
110-111°F 14%
99°F or below
5%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
19%
108-109°F
11%
110-111°F
14%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
4%
116-117°F
1%
118°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
High pressure dominating North Texas is sustaining intense surface heating and minimal cloud cover for Dallas on August 19, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to afternoon highs near 105–106°F amid drier air that reduces evaporative cooling. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited variability due to the stable ridge, though slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or subtle moisture advection could shift the peak by 1–2°F. This aligns with the ongoing late-summer heat anomaly exceeding seasonal normals of 95–96°F, where resolution hinges on official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations at standard shelter height. Traders are pricing the 104–109°F band most heavily because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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