In Panama City, Panama, trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–32°C for the August 19 high because the city sits in the heart of the rainy season under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Persistent convective cloud cover and frequent afternoon thundery showers, as indicated by current BBC and regional model guidance, typically cap daytime heating near the 29–30°C climatological average by limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs show modest variability in cloud breaks that could allow brief periods of stronger heating to reach 31–32°C, while stronger or earlier convection keeps readings at 28–29°C. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under these conditions, explaining the steep drop in market-implied odds beyond that threshold. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
8月19日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
32°C 37%
31°C 33%
33°C 22%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
15%
30°C
11%
31°C
33%
32°C
42%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 33%
33°C 22%
29°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
14%
29°C
$10 交易量
15%
30°C
$26 交易量
11%
31°C
$4 交易量
33%
32°C
$20 交易量
42%
33°C
$17 交易量
22%
34°C
$10 交易量
6%
35°C
$5 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City, Panama, trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–32°C for the August 19 high because the city sits in the heart of the rainy season under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Persistent convective cloud cover and frequent afternoon thundery showers, as indicated by current BBC and regional model guidance, typically cap daytime heating near the 29–30°C climatological average by limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs show modest variability in cloud breaks that could allow brief periods of stronger heating to reach 31–32°C, while stronger or earlier convection keeps readings at 28–29°C. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under these conditions, explaining the steep drop in market-implied odds beyond that threshold. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$117結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City, Panama, trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–32°C for the August 19 high because the city sits in the heart of the rainy season under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Persistent convective cloud cover and frequent afternoon thundery showers, as indicated by current BBC and regional model guidance, typically cap daytime heating near the 29–30°C climatological average by limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs show modest variability in cloud breaks that could allow brief periods of stronger heating to reach 31–32°C, while stronger or earlier convection keeps readings at 28–29°C. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under these conditions, explaining the steep drop in market-implied odds beyond that threshold. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$117結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETIn Panama City, Panama, trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–32°C for the August 19 high because the city sits in the heart of the rainy season under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Persistent convective cloud cover and frequent afternoon thundery showers, as indicated by current BBC and regional model guidance, typically cap daytime heating near the 29–30°C climatological average by limiting solar insolation. Recent model runs show modest variability in cloud breaks that could allow brief periods of stronger heating to reach 31–32°C, while stronger or earlier convection keeps readings at 28–29°C. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 34°C under these conditions, explaining the steep drop in market-implied odds beyond that threshold. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama guidance and next model cycle remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions