Forecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月19日邁阿密的最高溫度？
96-97°F 42%
98-99°F 28%
92-93°F 22%
94-95°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
6%
106°F或更高
1%
96-97°F 42%
98-99°F 28%
92-93°F 22%
94-95°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
87°F or below
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$5 交易量
15%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
22%
94-95°F
$2 交易量
19%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
42%
98-99°F
$28 交易量
28%
100-101°F
$5 交易量
16%
102-103°F
$5 交易量
10%
104-105°F
$5 交易量
6%
106°F或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETForecast uncertainty for Miami's peak temperature tomorrow centers on the balance between daytime heating under subtropical high pressure and the timing or intensity of afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms. Official guidance places the most likely maximum near 90–93 °F, consistent with the long-term August average of 89 °F and the narrow historical envelope that rarely exceeds 92 °F. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer moisture content, steering flow that modulates onshore winds, and cloud-cover evolution, all of which can shift realized highs by several degrees within the 88–95 °F window. With no strong anomalous signals in current model consensus, market-implied odds remain broadly distributed across adjacent ranges, reflecting the limited lead time and inherent short-range forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions