Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a sunny-to-partly cloudy setup over Miami on August 18, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s as subtropical ridging suppresses widespread convection and allows strong insolation. Sea-breeze timing and any late-day thunderstorm initiation remain the main variables that could cap readings near 94–96 °F or permit brief pushes toward 98–99 °F at the official Miami International Airport station. With normal August 18 maxima near 91 °F and the daily record at 96 °F, the current pattern of elevated heat indices and limited cloud cover has shifted trader consensus toward the 96–99 °F bins. Updated model runs and evening forecast discussions from NHC-adjacent offices will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月18日邁阿密的最高溫度？
98-99°F 49%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 3%
最新
$12,345 交易量
最新
$12,345 交易量
2026-08-18
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 49%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 3%
最新
$12,345 交易量
最新
$12,345 交易量
2026-08-18
91°F or below
$127 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,527 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$761 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$3,650 交易量
35%
98-99°F
$2,985 交易量
49%
100-101°F
$1,781 交易量
12%
102-103°F
$831 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$192 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$212 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$140 交易量
<1%
華氏110度或更高
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a sunny-to-partly cloudy setup over Miami on August 18, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s as subtropical ridging suppresses widespread convection and allows strong insolation. Sea-breeze timing and any late-day thunderstorm initiation remain the main variables that could cap readings near 94–96 °F or permit brief pushes toward 98–99 °F at the official Miami International Airport station. With normal August 18 maxima near 91 °F and the daily record at 96 °F, the current pattern of elevated heat indices and limited cloud cover has shifted trader consensus toward the 96–99 °F bins. Updated model runs and evening forecast discussions from NHC-adjacent offices will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,345結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a sunny-to-partly cloudy setup over Miami on August 18, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s as subtropical ridging suppresses widespread convection and allows strong insolation. Sea-breeze timing and any late-day thunderstorm initiation remain the main variables that could cap readings near 94–96 °F or permit brief pushes toward 98–99 °F at the official Miami International Airport station. With normal August 18 maxima near 91 °F and the daily record at 96 °F, the current pattern of elevated heat indices and limited cloud cover has shifted trader consensus toward the 96–99 °F bins. Updated model runs and evening forecast discussions from NHC-adjacent offices will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,345結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a sunny-to-partly cloudy setup over Miami on August 18, favoring afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s as subtropical ridging suppresses widespread convection and allows strong insolation. Sea-breeze timing and any late-day thunderstorm initiation remain the main variables that could cap readings near 94–96 °F or permit brief pushes toward 98–99 °F at the official Miami International Airport station. With normal August 18 maxima near 91 °F and the daily record at 96 °F, the current pattern of elevated heat indices and limited cloud cover has shifted trader consensus toward the 96–99 °F bins. Updated model runs and evening forecast discussions from NHC-adjacent offices will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions