Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
19°C or higher 99.5%
16°C 1%
17°C 1%
18°C 1%
$2,928 Обс.
$2,928 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
Yes
19°C or higher 99.5%
16°C 1%
17°C 1%
18°C 1%
$2,928 Обс.
$2,928 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$803 Обс.
No
10°C
$127 Обс.
No
11°C
$627 Обс.
No
12°C
$127 Обс.
No
13°C
$127 Обс.
No
14°C
$575 Обс.
No
15°C
$241 Обс.
No
16°C
$32 Обс.
No
17°C
$32 Обс.
No
18°C
$29 Обс.
No
19°C or higher
$208 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,928Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,928Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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