Consensus among Environment Canada and global forecast models positions an 18–20°C daily high as the leading outcome for Toronto on August 24, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Recent model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with humidex values near 25°C and minimal risk of stronger insolation. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance of 20°C and slightly cooler ensemble solutions around 18–19°C, with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s final observations from Pearson Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
24%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
14°C or below
$6 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$8 Обс.
1%
16°C
$61 Обс.
2%
17°C
$248 Обс.
7%
18°C
$596 Обс.
26%
19°C
$324 Обс.
39%
20°C
$479 Обс.
24%
21°C
$520 Обс.
7%
22°C
$76 Обс.
3%
23°C
$15 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$23 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus among Environment Canada and global forecast models positions an 18–20°C daily high as the leading outcome for Toronto on August 24, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Recent model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with humidex values near 25°C and minimal risk of stronger insolation. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance of 20°C and slightly cooler ensemble solutions around 18–19°C, with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s final observations from Pearson Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,357Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus among Environment Canada and global forecast models positions an 18–20°C daily high as the leading outcome for Toronto on August 24, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Recent model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with humidex values near 25°C and minimal risk of stronger insolation. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance of 20°C and slightly cooler ensemble solutions around 18–19°C, with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s final observations from Pearson Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,357Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus among Environment Canada and global forecast models positions an 18–20°C daily high as the leading outcome for Toronto on August 24, reflected in the market’s heaviest weighting on those bins. Persistent westerly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to suppress daytime heating below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Recent model runs show limited variability in maximum temperatures, with humidex values near 25°C and minimal risk of stronger insolation. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty range between official guidance of 20°C and slightly cooler ensemble solutions around 18–19°C, with resolution hinging on tomorrow’s final observations from Pearson Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання