Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and ensemble models, point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on August 25 amid an ongoing heatwave driven by an expanded North Pacific high. Elevated humidity near 85–95% and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions with minimal temperature drops after sunset. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (42%) and adjacent bins at 25–27°C (44% combined), as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing little deviation from the warm air mass. Historical August baselines near 22–23°C lows are being exceeded due to the current atmospheric stability, though any unexpected clearing or localized showers could introduce modest downward shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 25?
26°C 42%
27°C 23%
25°C 21%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
42%
27°C
23%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 42%
27°C 23%
25°C 21%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$25 Wol.
2%
22°C
$20 Wol.
6%
23°C
$73 Wol.
6%
24°C
$91 Wol.
6%
25°C
$111 Wol.
21%
26°C
$103 Wol.
42%
27°C
$247 Wol.
23%
28°C
$43 Wol.
5%
29°C
$83 Wol.
1%
30°C
$10 Wol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and ensemble models, point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on August 25 amid an ongoing heatwave driven by an expanded North Pacific high. Elevated humidity near 85–95% and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions with minimal temperature drops after sunset. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (42%) and adjacent bins at 25–27°C (44% combined), as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing little deviation from the warm air mass. Historical August baselines near 22–23°C lows are being exceeded due to the current atmospheric stability, though any unexpected clearing or localized showers could introduce modest downward shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$811Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and ensemble models, point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on August 25 amid an ongoing heatwave driven by an expanded North Pacific high. Elevated humidity near 85–95% and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions with minimal temperature drops after sunset. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (42%) and adjacent bins at 25–27°C (44% combined), as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing little deviation from the warm air mass. Historical August baselines near 22–23°C lows are being exceeded due to the current atmospheric stability, though any unexpected clearing or localized showers could introduce modest downward shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$811Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug and ensemble models, point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in the Incheon/Seoul area on August 25 amid an ongoing heatwave driven by an expanded North Pacific high. Elevated humidity near 85–95% and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, sustaining tropical-night conditions with minimal temperature drops after sunset. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (42%) and adjacent bins at 25–27°C (44% combined), as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing little deviation from the warm air mass. Historical August baselines near 22–23°C lows are being exceeded due to the current atmospheric stability, though any unexpected clearing or localized showers could introduce modest downward shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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