Current numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, project Munich's overnight minimum on August 26 near 14–15°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13°C but sits well above recent cooler nights (e.g., 7.5°C on August 23). Market-implied odds favoring 8°C or below (34.5%) or 11–13°C outcomes appear driven by uncertainty in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and potential model spread rather than consensus forecasts; warmer 14–15°C scenarios carry lower implied probability despite current guidance, reflecting trader caution ahead of updated model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 69%
14°C 48%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
16%
10°C
14%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
48%
15°C
18%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
1%
8°C or below 69%
14°C 48%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
69%
9°C
$0 Wol.
16%
10°C
$0 Wol.
14%
11°C
$0 Wol.
26%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
48%
15°C
$0 Wol.
18%
16°C
$0 Wol.
17%
17°C
$0 Wol.
8%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, project Munich's overnight minimum on August 26 near 14–15°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13°C but sits well above recent cooler nights (e.g., 7.5°C on August 23). Market-implied odds favoring 8°C or below (34.5%) or 11–13°C outcomes appear driven by uncertainty in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and potential model spread rather than consensus forecasts; warmer 14–15°C scenarios carry lower implied probability despite current guidance, reflecting trader caution ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, project Munich's overnight minimum on August 26 near 14–15°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13°C but sits well above recent cooler nights (e.g., 7.5°C on August 23). Market-implied odds favoring 8°C or below (34.5%) or 11–13°C outcomes appear driven by uncertainty in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and potential model spread rather than consensus forecasts; warmer 14–15°C scenarios carry lower implied probability despite current guidance, reflecting trader caution ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, project Munich's overnight minimum on August 26 near 14–15°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13°C but sits well above recent cooler nights (e.g., 7.5°C on August 23). Market-implied odds favoring 8°C or below (34.5%) or 11–13°C outcomes appear driven by uncertainty in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and potential model spread rather than consensus forecasts; warmer 14–15°C scenarios carry lower implied probability despite current guidance, reflecting trader caution ahead of updated model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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