Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project a Seattle high near 75°F on August 23, 2026, driven by a moderating marine layer over Puget Sound and gradual clearing after morning clouds. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline in daily highs (averaging 73–75°F) and supports the market's leading 74–75°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 72–73°F. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble consensus show limited warming potential from onshore flow, keeping probabilities for 76°F+ or sub-72°F outcomes low while reflecting typical variability around official Sea-Tac Airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 29%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 29%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$232 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$8 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$191 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$498 Wol.
7%
72-73°F
$244 Wol.
29%
74-75°F
$718 Wol.
43%
76-77°F
$356 Wol.
18%
78-79°F
$353 Wol.
4%
80-81°F
$39 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$37 Wol.
1%
84°F or higher
$252 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project a Seattle high near 75°F on August 23, 2026, driven by a moderating marine layer over Puget Sound and gradual clearing after morning clouds. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline in daily highs (averaging 73–75°F) and supports the market's leading 74–75°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 72–73°F. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble consensus show limited warming potential from onshore flow, keeping probabilities for 76°F+ or sub-72°F outcomes low while reflecting typical variability around official Sea-Tac Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,927Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project a Seattle high near 75°F on August 23, 2026, driven by a moderating marine layer over Puget Sound and gradual clearing after morning clouds. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline in daily highs (averaging 73–75°F) and supports the market's leading 74–75°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 72–73°F. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble consensus show limited warming potential from onshore flow, keeping probabilities for 76°F+ or sub-72°F outcomes low while reflecting typical variability around official Sea-Tac Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,927Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently project a Seattle high near 75°F on August 23, 2026, driven by a moderating marine layer over Puget Sound and gradual clearing after morning clouds. This aligns with the late-August climatological decline in daily highs (averaging 73–75°F) and supports the market's leading 74–75°F outcome at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 72–73°F. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble consensus show limited warming potential from onshore flow, keeping probabilities for 76°F+ or sub-72°F outcomes low while reflecting typical variability around official Sea-Tac Airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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