**Forecast consensus from NOAA, NWS, and AccuWeather points to a minimum of 57–59 °F tonight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting the 84.5 % market-implied probability for the 58–59 °F bin.** Seattle’s coastal location and marine layer moderate overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57 °F, while radiational cooling under clear conditions allows temperatures to dip into the upper 50s without strong advection or cloud cover trapping heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or marine push expected to alter the trajectory before midnight observations close the daily minimum. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern heavily against the small chance of slightly cooler readings near 56 °F if skies clear earlier than anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
58-59°F 75%
56-57°F 26%
53°F or below 17%
54-55°F 15%
$1,218 Wol.
$1,218 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
53°F or below
17%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
84%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 75%
56-57°F 26%
53°F or below 17%
54-55°F 15%
$1,218 Wol.
$1,218 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
53°F or below
$25 Wol.
17%
54-55°F
$5 Wol.
15%
56-57°F
$11 Wol.
16%
58-59°F
$142 Wol.
84%
60-61°F
$100 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$101 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$260 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$124 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$155 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$130 Wol.
<1%
72°F or higher
$165 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA, NWS, and AccuWeather points to a minimum of 57–59 °F tonight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting the 84.5 % market-implied probability for the 58–59 °F bin.** Seattle’s coastal location and marine layer moderate overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57 °F, while radiational cooling under clear conditions allows temperatures to dip into the upper 50s without strong advection or cloud cover trapping heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or marine push expected to alter the trajectory before midnight observations close the daily minimum. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern heavily against the small chance of slightly cooler readings near 56 °F if skies clear earlier than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,218Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from NOAA, NWS, and AccuWeather points to a minimum of 57–59 °F tonight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting the 84.5 % market-implied probability for the 58–59 °F bin.** Seattle’s coastal location and marine layer moderate overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57 °F, while radiational cooling under clear conditions allows temperatures to dip into the upper 50s without strong advection or cloud cover trapping heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or marine push expected to alter the trajectory before midnight observations close the daily minimum. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern heavily against the small chance of slightly cooler readings near 56 °F if skies clear earlier than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,218Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from NOAA, NWS, and AccuWeather points to a minimum of 57–59 °F tonight under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting the 84.5 % market-implied probability for the 58–59 °F bin.** Seattle’s coastal location and marine layer moderate overnight lows near the long-term August average of 57 °F, while radiational cooling under clear conditions allows temperatures to dip into the upper 50s without strong advection or cloud cover trapping heat. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no incoming fronts or marine push expected to alter the trajectory before midnight observations close the daily minimum. Traders appear to weigh this stable pattern heavily against the small chance of slightly cooler readings near 56 °F if skies clear earlier than anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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