Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 24, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near the seasonal average of 23.4°C, with model guidance from sources such as GFS indicating partly to mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 7–9 mph, and negligible precipitation risk. This atmospheric setup—stable high pressure and modest warm advection—positions 23–24°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 26.5% and 38.5%. Ensemble runs show limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus model runs heavily, with lower odds assigned to 25°C or above reflecting the low likelihood of stronger insolation or southerly flow shifts before resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
26%
24°C
40%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 26%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$167 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Wol.
1%
20°C
$27 Wol.
1%
21°C
$258 Wol.
3%
22°C
$1,132 Wol.
14%
23°C
$4,357 Wol.
26%
24°C
$517 Wol.
40%
25°C
$1,055 Wol.
10%
26°C
$149 Wol.
2%
27°C
$46 Wol.
1%
28°C or higher
$356 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 24, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near the seasonal average of 23.4°C, with model guidance from sources such as GFS indicating partly to mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 7–9 mph, and negligible precipitation risk. This atmospheric setup—stable high pressure and modest warm advection—positions 23–24°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 26.5% and 38.5%. Ensemble runs show limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus model runs heavily, with lower odds assigned to 25°C or above reflecting the low likelihood of stronger insolation or southerly flow shifts before resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,095Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 24, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near the seasonal average of 23.4°C, with model guidance from sources such as GFS indicating partly to mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 7–9 mph, and negligible precipitation risk. This atmospheric setup—stable high pressure and modest warm advection—positions 23–24°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 26.5% and 38.5%. Ensemble runs show limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus model runs heavily, with lower odds assigned to 25°C or above reflecting the low likelihood of stronger insolation or southerly flow shifts before resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,095Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 24, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near the seasonal average of 23.4°C, with model guidance from sources such as GFS indicating partly to mostly cloudy skies, easterly winds of 7–9 mph, and negligible precipitation risk. This atmospheric setup—stable high pressure and modest warm advection—positions 23–24°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with the market-implied probabilities of 26.5% and 38.5%. Ensemble runs show limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these consensus model runs heavily, with lower odds assigned to 25°C or above reflecting the low likelihood of stronger insolation or southerly flow shifts before resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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