Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
8°C or below 59%
18°C or higher 59%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
59%
9°C
8%
10°C
10%
11°C
18%
12°C
28%
13°C
29%
14°C
27%
15°C
20%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
59%
8°C or below 59%
18°C or higher 59%
13°C 29%
12°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Wol.
59%
9°C
$0 Wol.
8%
10°C
$0 Wol.
10%
11°C
$0 Wol.
18%
12°C
$0 Wol.
28%
13°C
$0 Wol.
29%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
20%
16°C
$5 Wol.
1%
17°C
$5 Wol.
13%
18°C or higher
$5 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show substantial spread in minimum temperatures over southern Germany for August 25, with differing projections for nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and weak northerly advection. This uncertainty drives the near-even split between the 8°C-or-below and 18°C-or-higher brackets, while clustering around 12–14°C outcomes reflects historical late-August climatology near 13°C. Key differentiating factors include potential clear-sky conditions enhancing surface heat loss versus increased humidity or lingering warm air that limits cooling, with updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service expected to narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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