Traders assign overwhelming probability (96.5%) to an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, 2026, because official forecasts and early observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate, project nighttime lows of 9–10°C (48–50°F) following a daytime high around 22–23°C, consistent with late-August climatology where Munich averages drop to roughly 12°C but can reach single digits under high-pressure influence. The tight clustering around 8°C reflects limited forecast spread and minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or a revised model run showing enhanced radiative loss—could realistically push the minimum to 7°C or below before official daily records close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 23?
8°C 97%
6°C 3%
7°C 3%
5°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
97%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 97%
6°C 3%
7°C 3%
5°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
$280 Wol.
1%
6°C
$240 Wol.
3%
7°C
$24 Wol.
3%
8°C
$170 Wol.
97%
9°C
$550 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$520 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$187 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$174 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$157 Wol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$174 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability (96.5%) to an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, 2026, because official forecasts and early observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate, project nighttime lows of 9–10°C (48–50°F) following a daytime high around 22–23°C, consistent with late-August climatology where Munich averages drop to roughly 12°C but can reach single digits under high-pressure influence. The tight clustering around 8°C reflects limited forecast spread and minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or a revised model run showing enhanced radiative loss—could realistically push the minimum to 7°C or below before official daily records close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,706Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability (96.5%) to an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, 2026, because official forecasts and early observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate, project nighttime lows of 9–10°C (48–50°F) following a daytime high around 22–23°C, consistent with late-August climatology where Munich averages drop to roughly 12°C but can reach single digits under high-pressure influence. The tight clustering around 8°C reflects limited forecast spread and minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or a revised model run showing enhanced radiative loss—could realistically push the minimum to 7°C or below before official daily records close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,706Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability (96.5%) to an 8°C low in Munich on August 23, 2026, because official forecasts and early observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and light winds that favor radiative cooling. Multiple models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate, project nighttime lows of 9–10°C (48–50°F) following a daytime high around 22–23°C, consistent with late-August climatology where Munich averages drop to roughly 12°C but can reach single digits under high-pressure influence. The tight clustering around 8°C reflects limited forecast spread and minimal risk of stronger cooling or warmer advection. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or a revised model run showing enhanced radiative loss—could realistically push the minimum to 7°C or below before official daily records close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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