Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under predominantly sunny intervals and light south-westerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming from seasonal insolation, with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to suppress temperatures. The tight 21 °C versus 22 °C split in market-implied odds reflects small but consequential differences in forecast timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier increase in high cloud or marginally stronger mixing could cap the reading at 21 °C, while clearer conditions would allow it to reach 22 °C. Longer-range runs show low risk of 20 °C or below given the current ridge influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 24?
Highest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 48%
21°C 38%
23°C 10%
20°C 6%
NOWE
$16,382 Wol.
NOWE
$16,382 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
38%
22°C
48%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C 38%
23°C 10%
20°C 6%
NOWE
$16,382 Wol.
NOWE
$16,382 Wol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$375 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$343 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$754 Wol.
2%
20°C
$1,504 Wol.
6%
21°C
$1,518 Wol.
38%
22°C
$4,655 Wol.
48%
23°C
$1,525 Wol.
10%
24°C
$2,751 Wol.
2%
25°C
$1,835 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$426 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$697 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under predominantly sunny intervals and light south-westerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming from seasonal insolation, with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to suppress temperatures. The tight 21 °C versus 22 °C split in market-implied odds reflects small but consequential differences in forecast timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier increase in high cloud or marginally stronger mixing could cap the reading at 21 °C, while clearer conditions would allow it to reach 22 °C. Longer-range runs show low risk of 20 °C or below given the current ridge influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,382Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under predominantly sunny intervals and light south-westerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming from seasonal insolation, with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to suppress temperatures. The tight 21 °C versus 22 °C split in market-implied odds reflects small but consequential differences in forecast timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier increase in high cloud or marginally stronger mixing could cap the reading at 21 °C, while clearer conditions would allow it to reach 22 °C. Longer-range runs show low risk of 20 °C or below given the current ridge influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,382Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under predominantly sunny intervals and light south-westerly flow. This setup favors modest daytime warming from seasonal insolation, with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to suppress temperatures. The tight 21 °C versus 22 °C split in market-implied odds reflects small but consequential differences in forecast timing of peak heating and boundary-layer mixing; a slightly earlier increase in high cloud or marginally stronger mixing could cap the reading at 21 °C, while clearer conditions would allow it to reach 22 °C. Longer-range runs show low risk of 20 °C or below given the current ridge influence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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