Recent model runs and observational data show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative heating in Chengdu, keeping most official forecasts centered near 33°C for August 24. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing, where reduced precipitation and lighter winds could allow greater insolation and push the daily maximum 2–3°C above guidance, consistent with August climatology featuring occasional hotter spikes. High humidity near 70% and the urban heat island effect further modulate the temperature range, while ensemble spread in steering patterns creates the close probability distribution across 34–37°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected within hours will likely resolve much of this near-term variance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
36°C 30%
35°C 22%
34°C 16%
37°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
22%
36°C
30%
37°C
15%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 30%
35°C 22%
34°C 16%
37°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$146 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$145 Wol.
2%
30°C
$145 Wol.
2%
31°C
$30 Wol.
2%
32°C
$466 Wol.
3%
33°C
$784 Wol.
5%
34°C
$779 Wol.
16%
35°C
$1,084 Wol.
22%
36°C
$799 Wol.
30%
37°C
$837 Wol.
15%
38°C or higher
$2,064 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational data show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative heating in Chengdu, keeping most official forecasts centered near 33°C for August 24. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing, where reduced precipitation and lighter winds could allow greater insolation and push the daily maximum 2–3°C above guidance, consistent with August climatology featuring occasional hotter spikes. High humidity near 70% and the urban heat island effect further modulate the temperature range, while ensemble spread in steering patterns creates the close probability distribution across 34–37°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected within hours will likely resolve much of this near-term variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,385Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational data show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative heating in Chengdu, keeping most official forecasts centered near 33°C for August 24. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing, where reduced precipitation and lighter winds could allow greater insolation and push the daily maximum 2–3°C above guidance, consistent with August climatology featuring occasional hotter spikes. High humidity near 70% and the urban heat island effect further modulate the temperature range, while ensemble spread in steering patterns creates the close probability distribution across 34–37°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected within hours will likely resolve much of this near-term variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,385Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and observational data show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative heating in Chengdu, keeping most official forecasts centered near 33°C for August 24. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon clearing, where reduced precipitation and lighter winds could allow greater insolation and push the daily maximum 2–3°C above guidance, consistent with August climatology featuring occasional hotter spikes. High humidity near 70% and the urban heat island effect further modulate the temperature range, while ensemble spread in steering patterns creates the close probability distribution across 34–37°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance expected within hours will likely resolve much of this near-term variance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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