**Forecast models from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international providers consistently point to a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 24, 2026, supported by 45% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity (often 70-90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, where light winds further reduce temperature drops. This aligns with late-August monsoon conditions following the Chushu solar term, when daytime highs reach 33-34°C but overnight lows stabilize around 25-26°C. Recent short-term updates note dispersed convection through the 24th, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected to push readings to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these stable model runs heavily, though minor forecast revisions on precipitation timing could still shift the exact minimum within the 23-27°C cluster.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
20°C or below 54%
30°C or higher 54%
27°C 33%
24°C 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
54%
21°C
17%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C
30%
25°C
40%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
54%
20°C or below 54%
30°C or higher 54%
27°C 33%
24°C 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$21 Wol.
54%
21°C
$50 Wol.
17%
22°C
$26 Wol.
30%
23°C
$6 Wol.
27%
24°C
$6 Wol.
30%
25°C
$943 Wol.
40%
26°C
$6 Wol.
23%
27°C
$6 Wol.
33%
28°C
$5 Wol.
3%
29°C
$5 Wol.
8%
30°C or higher
$145 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international providers consistently point to a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 24, 2026, supported by 45% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity (often 70-90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, where light winds further reduce temperature drops. This aligns with late-August monsoon conditions following the Chushu solar term, when daytime highs reach 33-34°C but overnight lows stabilize around 25-26°C. Recent short-term updates note dispersed convection through the 24th, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected to push readings to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these stable model runs heavily, though minor forecast revisions on precipitation timing could still shift the exact minimum within the 23-27°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,219Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international providers consistently point to a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 24, 2026, supported by 45% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity (often 70-90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, where light winds further reduce temperature drops. This aligns with late-August monsoon conditions following the Chushu solar term, when daytime highs reach 33-34°C but overnight lows stabilize around 25-26°C. Recent short-term updates note dispersed convection through the 24th, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected to push readings to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these stable model runs heavily, though minor forecast revisions on precipitation timing could still shift the exact minimum within the 23-27°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,219Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and international providers consistently point to a minimum temperature near 25°C for August 24, 2026, supported by 45% market-implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and elevated humidity (often 70-90%) limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, where light winds further reduce temperature drops. This aligns with late-August monsoon conditions following the Chushu solar term, when daytime highs reach 33-34°C but overnight lows stabilize around 25-26°C. Recent short-term updates note dispersed convection through the 24th, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected to push readings to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these stable model runs heavily, though minor forecast revisions on precipitation timing could still shift the exact minimum within the 23-27°C cluster.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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