Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
25°C 97%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
29%
23°C
18%
24°C
23%
25°C
80%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 97%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$145 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$142 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$284 Wol.
1%
22°C
$112 Wol.
29%
23°C
$95 Wol.
18%
24°C
$62 Wol.
23%
25°C
$155 Wol.
80%
26°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$217 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,718Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,718Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts and station observations for Chengdu indicate an overnight low stabilizing near 25°C, driven by high relative humidity (70–97%), light winds, and persistent cloud cover or showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where typical minima range 22–25°C and sharp drops below 24°C require clear skies absent in current model runs. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (79% implied probability) reflects this consensus, with 24°C as the main alternative; lower outcomes remain heavily discounted absent any incoming cold air or frontal systems that could alter the thermal profile before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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