Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のトロントの最低気温は？
8月22日のトロントの最低気温は？
19°C以上 99.5%
16℃ 1%
17℃ 1%
18℃ 1%
$2,928 Vol.
$2,928 Vol.
2026/08/22
9℃以下
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12℃
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C以上
はい
19°C以上 99.5%
16℃ 1%
17℃ 1%
18℃ 1%
$2,928 Vol.
$2,928 Vol.
2026/08/22
9℃以下
$803 Vol.
いいえ
10°C
$127 Vol.
いいえ
11℃
$627 Vol.
いいえ
12℃
$127 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$127 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$575 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$241 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$32 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$32 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$29 Vol.
いいえ
19°C以上
$208 Vol.
はい
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
音量
$2,928終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,928終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問