Current forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS project Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C, supported by persistent northeasterly meltem winds, mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70 %. These conditions produce a typical late-August diurnal range moderated by the Bosphorus, keeping overnight lows above the seasonal 20–21 °C baseline while limiting rapid cooling. Trader consensus remains closely split between the 28 °C-or-higher and 18 °C-or-below bins because small revisions in wind speed, cloud cover, or model runs could shift the minimum across key thresholds. Updated guidance ahead of the 25th will clarify whether radiative cooling under clear conditions or advective warming dominates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のイスタンブールの最低気温は?
18°C or below 88%
28°C or higher 88%
27°C 87%
26°C 52%
18°C or below
88%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
52%
27°C
87%
28°C or higher
88%
18°C or below 88%
28°C or higher 88%
27°C 87%
26°C 52%
18°C or below
88%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
52%
27°C
87%
28°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS project Istanbul's minimum temperature on August 25 near 22–23 °C, supported by persistent northeasterly meltem winds, mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50–70 %. These conditions produce a typical late-August diurnal range moderated by the Bosphorus, keeping overnight lows above the seasonal 20–21 °C baseline while limiting rapid cooling. Trader consensus remains closely split between the 28 °C-or-higher and 18 °C-or-below bins because small revisions in wind speed, cloud cover, or model runs could shift the minimum across key thresholds. Updated guidance ahead of the 25th will clarify whether radiative cooling under clear conditions or advective warming dominates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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