Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
8月23日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 13%
16°C or below <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
16°C or below
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
60%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 13%
16°C or below <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
17°C
$91 Vol.
13%
18°C
$50 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6 Vol.
19%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$91 Vol.
60%
22°C
$257 Vol.
1%
23°C
$215 Vol.
1%
24°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$1,647終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,647終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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