Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show Helsinki's overnight minimum on August 24 likely ranging 10–13°C amid northwesterly winds and scattered showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12°C. Primary uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling toward single digits, while persistent low-level clouds or stronger winds limit drops by trapping heat. Northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Baltic further modulates the outcome, with latest model runs showing modest spread in 2-meter temperatures. Historical August minima near 12°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh incoming 24-hour updates on precipitation timing and wind shear as key resolution factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のヘルシンキの最低気温は?
11°C 37%
8°C以下 36%
12℃ 23%
9°C 20%
8°C以下
36%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
29%
12℃
23%
13℃
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16℃
2%
17°C
1%
18°C以上
1%
11°C 37%
8°C以下 36%
12℃ 23%
9°C 20%
8°C以下
36%
9°C
20%
10°C
20%
11°C
29%
12℃
23%
13℃
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
5%
16℃
2%
17°C
1%
18°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show Helsinki's overnight minimum on August 24 likely ranging 10–13°C amid northwesterly winds and scattered showers, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–12°C. Primary uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing: clearer intervals would enhance radiative cooling toward single digits, while persistent low-level clouds or stronger winds limit drops by trapping heat. Northerly advection of cooler maritime air from the Baltic further modulates the outcome, with latest model runs showing modest spread in 2-meter temperatures. Historical August minima near 12°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh incoming 24-hour updates on precipitation timing and wind shear as key resolution factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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