Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF, GFS, and Finnish Meteorological Institute models converge on a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Helsinki on August 24, with stabilizing high pressure and light northerly flow promoting modest daytime radiative warming after cooler, showery conditions on the 22nd–23rd. Partly cloudy skies and seasonal climatology near 19.3°C anchor the central tendency, while 1–2°C spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover create the near-even split between the 18°C and 19°C brackets. Official guidance from FMI and Met Office aligns with these ranges, and traders weigh the short lead time heavily as the next model updates will likely resolve residual uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
19°C 40%
18℃ 38%
17℃ 10%
20°C 10%
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
10%
18℃
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
10%
21℃
3%
22°C以上
1%
19°C 40%
18℃ 38%
17℃ 10%
20°C 10%
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
10%
18℃
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
10%
21℃
3%
22°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF, GFS, and Finnish Meteorological Institute models converge on a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Helsinki on August 24, with stabilizing high pressure and light northerly flow promoting modest daytime radiative warming after cooler, showery conditions on the 22nd–23rd. Partly cloudy skies and seasonal climatology near 19.3°C anchor the central tendency, while 1–2°C spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover create the near-even split between the 18°C and 19°C brackets. Official guidance from FMI and Met Office aligns with these ranges, and traders weigh the short lead time heavily as the next model updates will likely resolve residual uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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