Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 18–20°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling after recent rain cleared. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4°C and recent high-pressure dominance that has produced diurnal ranges exceeding 10°C. Slight model spread around exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 18°C and 19°C outcomes nearly tied at roughly one-third implied probability each, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming frontal systems. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の北京の最低気温は？
8月31日の北京の最低気温は？
15°C 42%
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
16°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
13°C or below
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
42%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
34%
19°C
32%
20°C
25%
21°C
24%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 42%
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
16°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
13°C or below
$705 Vol.
1%
14°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$140 Vol.
42%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$11 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 18–20°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling after recent rain cleared. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4°C and recent high-pressure dominance that has produced diurnal ranges exceeding 10°C. Slight model spread around exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 18°C and 19°C outcomes nearly tied at roughly one-third implied probability each, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming frontal systems. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,006終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 18–20°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling after recent rain cleared. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4°C and recent high-pressure dominance that has produced diurnal ranges exceeding 10°C. Slight model spread around exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 18°C and 19°C outcomes nearly tied at roughly one-third implied probability each, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming frontal systems. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,006終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 18–20°C for Beijing on August 31 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling after recent rain cleared. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4°C and recent high-pressure dominance that has produced diurnal ranges exceeding 10°C. Slight model spread around exact minimum timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 18°C and 19°C outcomes nearly tied at roughly one-third implied probability each, while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability given stable conditions and no incoming frontal systems. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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