**Cloud cover and lingering moisture from recent heavy rainfall are the dominant factors capping the August 30 maximum near 30–31 °C in central Chongqing.** After widespread rain on August 29 cooled most districts below 30 °C (with some spots as low as 23 °C), official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate a transition to mostly cloudy or overcast conditions with only isolated southern showers. This reduces surface heating while elevated humidity and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks modest. Center-city guidance consistently points to 24–31 °C, aligning with the market’s strong 60 % / 33 % implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C. Historical context shows late-August subtropical highs often produce 35–38 °C under clear skies, but the recent frontal passage and persistent cloud deck have suppressed that recovery. Minor upside risk to 32 °C exists if breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than modeled, yet the consensus of numerical guidance and station observations supports the current tight range around the forecast high. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum from the primary reference station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の重慶の最高気温は？
8月30日の重慶の最高気温は？
30°C 45%
31°C 23%
32°C 7%
33°C <1%
$35,740 Vol.
$35,740 Vol.
2026/08/30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
61%
31°C
31%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 23%
32°C 7%
33°C <1%
$35,740 Vol.
$35,740 Vol.
2026/08/30
26°C or below
$3,180 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,923 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,052 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,151 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,223 Vol.
61%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
31%
32°C
$2,567 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,967 Vol.
1%
34°C
$4,715 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,127 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$3,942 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and lingering moisture from recent heavy rainfall are the dominant factors capping the August 30 maximum near 30–31 °C in central Chongqing.**
After widespread rain on August 29 cooled most districts below 30 °C (with some spots as low as 23 °C), official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate a transition to mostly cloudy or overcast conditions with only isolated southern showers. This reduces surface heating while elevated humidity and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks modest. Center-city guidance consistently points to 24–31 °C, aligning with the market’s strong 60 % / 33 % implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C.
Historical context shows late-August subtropical highs often produce 35–38 °C under clear skies, but the recent frontal passage and persistent cloud deck have suppressed that recovery. Minor upside risk to 32 °C exists if breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than modeled, yet the consensus of numerical guidance and station observations supports the current tight range around the forecast high. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum from the primary reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$35,740終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and lingering moisture from recent heavy rainfall are the dominant factors capping the August 30 maximum near 30–31 °C in central Chongqing.**
After widespread rain on August 29 cooled most districts below 30 °C (with some spots as low as 23 °C), official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate a transition to mostly cloudy or overcast conditions with only isolated southern showers. This reduces surface heating while elevated humidity and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks modest. Center-city guidance consistently points to 24–31 °C, aligning with the market’s strong 60 % / 33 % implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C.
Historical context shows late-August subtropical highs often produce 35–38 °C under clear skies, but the recent frontal passage and persistent cloud deck have suppressed that recovery. Minor upside risk to 32 °C exists if breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than modeled, yet the consensus of numerical guidance and station observations supports the current tight range around the forecast high. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum from the primary reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35,740終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Cloud cover and lingering moisture from recent heavy rainfall are the dominant factors capping the August 30 maximum near 30–31 °C in central Chongqing.** After widespread rain on August 29 cooled most districts below 30 °C (with some spots as low as 23 °C), official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicate a transition to mostly cloudy or overcast conditions with only isolated southern showers. This reduces surface heating while elevated humidity and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks modest. Center-city guidance consistently points to 24–31 °C, aligning with the market’s strong 60 % / 33 % implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C. Historical context shows late-August subtropical highs often produce 35–38 °C under clear skies, but the recent frontal passage and persistent cloud deck have suppressed that recovery. Minor upside risk to 32 °C exists if breaks in cloud cover occur earlier than modeled, yet the consensus of numerical guidance and station observations supports the current tight range around the forecast high. Resolution will depend on the official daily maximum from the primary reference station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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