Official observations from MetService and Wellington stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies with northerly winds, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This value sits several degrees above the August climatological average high near 13–14°C, driven by a transient warm advection pattern ahead of an approaching cold front. Real-time reports showing peaks near 17°C and model guidance converging on similar readings reinforced trader confidence in the outcome. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc adjustment from the official recording station or a discrepancy in how the highest hourly versus daily maximum is defined for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
18°C 100.0%
$81,437 Vol.
$81,437 Vol.
18°C
100%
18°C 100.0%
$81,437 Vol.
$81,437 Vol.
18°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official observations from MetService and Wellington stations recorded a daily maximum of 18°C on August 30 under clear skies with northerly winds, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This value sits several degrees above the August climatological average high near 13–14°C, driven by a transient warm advection pattern ahead of an approaching cold front. Real-time reports showing peaks near 17°C and model guidance converging on similar readings reinforced trader confidence in the outcome. The sole realistic challenge would be a post-hoc adjustment from the official recording station or a discrepancy in how the highest hourly versus daily maximum is defined for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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