Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月30日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 10%
$38,597 Vol.
$38,597 Vol.
2026/08/30
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 10%
$38,597 Vol.
$38,597 Vol.
2026/08/30
73°F or below
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,131 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$8,771 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$3,083 Vol.
10%
80-81°F
$8,927 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$6,818 Vol.
42%
84-85°F
$2,657 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$1,499 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$971 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,324 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$658 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
音量
$38,597終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38,597終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 project a high-pressure ridge supporting southwest flow and highs centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia Airport, the designated NOAA station for market resolution. Ensemble model consensus and recent runs indicate limited spread, with peak heating potentially moderated by afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, or sea-breeze effects that reduce insolation and urban heat retention. These factors position the 82–83°F bin as the leading outcome with 41.5% implied probability, ahead of 80–81°F, as traders weigh historical verification tendencies favoring slight underperformance relative to guidance. Updated model data and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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