**Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Busan on August 30 because real-time observations and model consensus from regional forecasts align on a peak near that threshold under partly cloudy, humid conditions with scattered thunderstorms.** Southwest winds and high dew points near 27°C have limited daytime heating despite August climatology often supporting warmer peaks, while official monitoring stations report afternoon readings clustering around 32–33°C without pushing into higher bins. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer marine-influenced coastal environments in the region. A realistic challenge would require either delayed storm development allowing greater solar insolation or a revised official maximum from the Korea Meteorological Administration exceeding 33°C by measurement timing or station criteria, though current model runs show low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の釜山の最高気温は?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$36,807 Vol.
$36,807 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$36,807 Vol.
$36,807 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Busan on August 30 because real-time observations and model consensus from regional forecasts align on a peak near that threshold under partly cloudy, humid conditions with scattered thunderstorms.** Southwest winds and high dew points near 27°C have limited daytime heating despite August climatology often supporting warmer peaks, while official monitoring stations report afternoon readings clustering around 32–33°C without pushing into higher bins. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer marine-influenced coastal environments in the region. A realistic challenge would require either delayed storm development allowing greater solar insolation or a revised official maximum from the Korea Meteorological Administration exceeding 33°C by measurement timing or station criteria, though current model runs show low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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