Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models show a consensus minimum temperature of 25°C in Busan on August 30, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical August lows average near 24–26°C, and recent observational data align closely with this range, supporting the 99.5% market-implied odds. Forecast uncertainty remains due to possible microscale variations across stations or minor shifts in cloud cover and sea breezes; real-time updates from official monitoring could still adjust the recorded low before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の釜山の最低気温は?
25°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$1,748 Vol.
$1,748 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.4%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$1,748 Vol.
$1,748 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting global models show a consensus minimum temperature of 25°C in Busan on August 30, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical August lows average near 24–26°C, and recent observational data align closely with this range, supporting the 99.5% market-implied odds. Forecast uncertainty remains due to possible microscale variations across stations or minor shifts in cloud cover and sea breezes; real-time updates from official monitoring could still adjust the recorded low before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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