**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Beijing on August 30, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting observed conditions under clear skies and light winds.** Official forecasts and real-time station data from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance showed daytime temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 20°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 30s amid sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Hourly observations reached 33.9°C in the afternoon under northwest flow, consistent with the resolution threshold for the market. Late August climatology typically features highs around 29–31°C, but the absence of precipitation, low humidity (dropping to ~20–30%), and stable high pressure supported the upward excursion to 34°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microscale variations at the official Beijing station, minor forecast revisions from updated model runs, or edge-case measurement timing, though current data alignment makes significant deviation improbable before final reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の北京の最高気温は？
8月30日の北京の最高気温は？
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,330 Vol.
$54,330 Vol.
2026/08/30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,330 Vol.
$54,330 Vol.
2026/08/30
26°C or below
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,026 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,501 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,030 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$12,368 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,025 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,204 Vol.
100%
35°C
$7,757 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$7,106 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Beijing on August 30, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting observed conditions under clear skies and light winds.**
Official forecasts and real-time station data from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance showed daytime temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 20°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 30s amid sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Hourly observations reached 33.9°C in the afternoon under northwest flow, consistent with the resolution threshold for the market. Late August climatology typically features highs around 29–31°C, but the absence of precipitation, low humidity (dropping to ~20–30%), and stable high pressure supported the upward excursion to 34°C.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microscale variations at the official Beijing station, minor forecast revisions from updated model runs, or edge-case measurement timing, though current data alignment makes significant deviation improbable before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$54,330終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Beijing on August 30, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting observed conditions under clear skies and light winds.**
Official forecasts and real-time station data from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance showed daytime temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 20°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 30s amid sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Hourly observations reached 33.9°C in the afternoon under northwest flow, consistent with the resolution threshold for the market. Late August climatology typically features highs around 29–31°C, but the absence of precipitation, low humidity (dropping to ~20–30%), and stable high pressure supported the upward excursion to 34°C.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microscale variations at the official Beijing station, minor forecast revisions from updated model runs, or edge-case measurement timing, though current data alignment makes significant deviation improbable before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$54,330終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Beijing on August 30, 2026, with near-certain market-implied odds reflecting observed conditions under clear skies and light winds.** Official forecasts and real-time station data from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance showed daytime temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 20°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 30s amid sunny conditions and minimal cloud cover. Hourly observations reached 33.9°C in the afternoon under northwest flow, consistent with the resolution threshold for the market. Late August climatology typically features highs around 29–31°C, but the absence of precipitation, low humidity (dropping to ~20–30%), and stable high pressure supported the upward excursion to 34°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microscale variations at the official Beijing station, minor forecast revisions from updated model runs, or edge-case measurement timing, though current data alignment makes significant deviation improbable before final reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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