Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on August 31 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 30–31 °C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 43.5% and 34.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Daytime heating under clear skies, combined with seasonal late-August averages around 29 °C, creates the narrow range, while model consensus on weak high-pressure influence limits upside potential to 32 °C or higher. Minor variations in peak timing or urban heat effects introduce the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の北京の最高気温は？
8月31日の北京の最高気温は？
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 8%
新規
$12,895 Vol.
新規
$12,895 Vol.
2026/08/31
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
44%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 35%
32°C 10%
29°C 8%
新規
$12,895 Vol.
新規
$12,895 Vol.
2026/08/31
25°C or below
$742 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$585 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,105 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,329 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2,306 Vol.
44%
31°C
$1,383 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,250 Vol.
10%
33°C
$1,711 Vol.
3%
34°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on August 31 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 30–31 °C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 43.5% and 34.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Daytime heating under clear skies, combined with seasonal late-August averages around 29 °C, creates the narrow range, while model consensus on weak high-pressure influence limits upside potential to 32 °C or higher. Minor variations in peak timing or urban heat effects introduce the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$12,895終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on August 31 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 30–31 °C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 43.5% and 34.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Daytime heating under clear skies, combined with seasonal late-August averages around 29 °C, creates the narrow range, while model consensus on weak high-pressure influence limits upside potential to 32 °C or higher. Minor variations in peak timing or urban heat effects introduce the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,895終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on August 31 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting maximum temperatures of 30–31 °C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 43.5% and 34.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Daytime heating under clear skies, combined with seasonal late-August averages around 29 °C, creates the narrow range, while model consensus on weak high-pressure influence limits upside potential to 32 °C or higher. Minor variations in peak timing or urban heat effects introduce the remaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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