Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のアンカラの最高気温は？
8月30日のアンカラの最高気温は？
25°C 49%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
27°C <1%
$26,817 Vol.
$26,817 Vol.
2026/08/30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
49%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 27%
26°C 22%
27°C <1%
$26,817 Vol.
$26,817 Vol.
2026/08/30
21°C or below
$1,751 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,509 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,223 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,248 Vol.
19%
25°C
$6,003 Vol.
49%
26°C
$3,433 Vol.
34%
27°C
$2,052 Vol.
1%
28°C
$679 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$26,817終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$26,817終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a peak daytime temperature near 25–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven by persistent northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and surface highs around 1011–1013 hPa that limit strong diurnal heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau while suppressing the warmer outcomes seen in earlier model runs. Live observations through midday, showing readings climbing toward but not exceeding the mid-20s, have reinforced trader positioning around the 25°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 26°C as the nearest alternatives. Updated model guidance and any late-day clearing will determine whether the final maximum shifts within this narrow band before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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