A broad heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southwest is driving National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus for a September 1 high in the low 90s across Chicago, with NWS pointing to 91°F under partly cloudy skies and only a 20-30% shower chance. Southwest flow and elevated dew points near 70°F are supporting heat indices approaching 100°F, well above the early-September climatological average high of ~81°F. Recent forecast updates from late August have reinforced this warm pattern while highlighting minor spread from cloud cover and timing of any convection, keeping the 90-91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5% implied probability amid typical model uncertainty ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のシカゴの最高気温は？
9月1日のシカゴの最高気温は？
90～91°F 43%
88～89°F 26%
86～87°F 22%
94〜95°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
華氏81度以下
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84～85°F
7%
86～87°F
22%
88～89°F
26%
90～91°F
43%
92～93°F
19%
94〜95°F
19%
96〜97°F
7%
98～99°F
<1%
華氏100度以上
<1%
90～91°F 43%
88～89°F 26%
86～87°F 22%
94〜95°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
華氏81度以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84～85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86～87°F
$0 Vol.
22%
88～89°F
$17 Vol.
26%
90～91°F
$70 Vol.
43%
92～93°F
$120 Vol.
19%
94〜95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96〜97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98～99°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
華氏100度以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A broad heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southwest is driving National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus for a September 1 high in the low 90s across Chicago, with NWS pointing to 91°F under partly cloudy skies and only a 20-30% shower chance. Southwest flow and elevated dew points near 70°F are supporting heat indices approaching 100°F, well above the early-September climatological average high of ~81°F. Recent forecast updates from late August have reinforced this warm pattern while highlighting minor spread from cloud cover and timing of any convection, keeping the 90-91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5% implied probability amid typical model uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$206終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A broad heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southwest is driving National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus for a September 1 high in the low 90s across Chicago, with NWS pointing to 91°F under partly cloudy skies and only a 20-30% shower chance. Southwest flow and elevated dew points near 70°F are supporting heat indices approaching 100°F, well above the early-September climatological average high of ~81°F. Recent forecast updates from late August have reinforced this warm pattern while highlighting minor spread from cloud cover and timing of any convection, keeping the 90-91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5% implied probability amid typical model uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$206終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETA broad heat dome advecting warm, humid air from the southwest is driving National Weather Service and ensemble model consensus for a September 1 high in the low 90s across Chicago, with NWS pointing to 91°F under partly cloudy skies and only a 20-30% shower chance. Southwest flow and elevated dew points near 70°F are supporting heat indices approaching 100°F, well above the early-September climatological average high of ~81°F. Recent forecast updates from late August have reinforced this warm pattern while highlighting minor spread from cloud cover and timing of any convection, keeping the 90-91°F bin as the market favorite at 42.5% implied probability amid typical model uncertainty ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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