**Forecast consensus from multiple models (including GFS) points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Morning lows near 17 °C give way to gradual warming, with afternoon readings peaking in the mid-20s as cloud cover limits full solar heating while above-average warmth persists relative to the long-term August 30 high of ~22.6 °C. Official and commercial sources (WeatherBug, wetter.com, Weather Atlas) converge on this range, with some hourly guidance reaching 26 °C and a few extending to 27 °C. This narrow band explains the market’s strong weighting toward 27 °C (70 %) and 26 °C (17.5 %), reflecting trader confidence in the model consensus while allowing modest room for measurement variation at the official station. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce the chance of significant deviations, keeping lower or higher outcomes (25 °C or 28 °C+) at single-digit implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月30日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
27°C 70%
26°C 19%
28°C 10%
29°C <1%
$31,944 Vol.
$31,944 Vol.
2026/08/30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
19%
27°C
70%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 70%
26°C 19%
28°C 10%
29°C <1%
$31,944 Vol.
$31,944 Vol.
2026/08/30
21°C or below
$2,701 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,897 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$849 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$977 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,474 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5,986 Vol.
19%
27°C
$7,361 Vol.
70%
28°C
$4,810 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,769 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,575 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,545 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models (including GFS) points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Morning lows near 17 °C give way to gradual warming, with afternoon readings peaking in the mid-20s as cloud cover limits full solar heating while above-average warmth persists relative to the long-term August 30 high of ~22.6 °C.
Official and commercial sources (WeatherBug, wetter.com, Weather Atlas) converge on this range, with some hourly guidance reaching 26 °C and a few extending to 27 °C. This narrow band explains the market’s strong weighting toward 27 °C (70 %) and 26 °C (17.5 %), reflecting trader confidence in the model consensus while allowing modest room for measurement variation at the official station. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce the chance of significant deviations, keeping lower or higher outcomes (25 °C or 28 °C+) at single-digit implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$31,944終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models (including GFS) points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Morning lows near 17 °C give way to gradual warming, with afternoon readings peaking in the mid-20s as cloud cover limits full solar heating while above-average warmth persists relative to the long-term August 30 high of ~22.6 °C.
Official and commercial sources (WeatherBug, wetter.com, Weather Atlas) converge on this range, with some hourly guidance reaching 26 °C and a few extending to 27 °C. This narrow band explains the market’s strong weighting toward 27 °C (70 %) and 26 °C (17.5 %), reflecting trader confidence in the model consensus while allowing modest room for measurement variation at the official station. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce the chance of significant deviations, keeping lower or higher outcomes (25 °C or 28 °C+) at single-digit implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$31,944終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models (including GFS) points to a daytime high of 26–27 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible rain chances.** Morning lows near 17 °C give way to gradual warming, with afternoon readings peaking in the mid-20s as cloud cover limits full solar heating while above-average warmth persists relative to the long-term August 30 high of ~22.6 °C. Official and commercial sources (WeatherBug, wetter.com, Weather Atlas) converge on this range, with some hourly guidance reaching 26 °C and a few extending to 27 °C. This narrow band explains the market’s strong weighting toward 27 °C (70 %) and 26 °C (17.5 %), reflecting trader confidence in the model consensus while allowing modest room for measurement variation at the official station. Low precipitation risk and stable steering flow reduce the chance of significant deviations, keeping lower or higher outcomes (25 °C or 28 °C+) at single-digit implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問