**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Shenzhen on August 30, reflecting official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing suppressed maxima amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain associated with a weakening typhoon circulation.** Multiple sources, including local agency outlooks and international forecasts, consistently project daytime peaks of 27–31°C under these conditions, with limited solar heating preventing the higher values typical of August (climatological highs near 32°C). Current observations hovering near 29–32°C during peak heating hours further align with this outcome. The strong market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and low likelihood of significant forecast revisions this late in the day, though localized clear spells or station-specific readings could theoretically shift the recorded maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の深センの最高気温は？
8月30日の深センの最高気温は？
31°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$45,127 Vol.
$45,127 Vol.
2026/08/30
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$45,127 Vol.
$45,127 Vol.
2026/08/30
25°C or below
$453 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$903 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,713 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,525 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,146 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,171 Vol.
100%
32°C
$5,669 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,496 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Shenzhen on August 30, reflecting official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing suppressed maxima amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain associated with a weakening typhoon circulation.**
Multiple sources, including local agency outlooks and international forecasts, consistently project daytime peaks of 27–31°C under these conditions, with limited solar heating preventing the higher values typical of August (climatological highs near 32°C). Current observations hovering near 29–32°C during peak heating hours further align with this outcome. The strong market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and low likelihood of significant forecast revisions this late in the day, though localized clear spells or station-specific readings could theoretically shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$45,127終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Shenzhen on August 30, reflecting official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing suppressed maxima amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain associated with a weakening typhoon circulation.**
Multiple sources, including local agency outlooks and international forecasts, consistently project daytime peaks of 27–31°C under these conditions, with limited solar heating preventing the higher values typical of August (climatological highs near 32°C). Current observations hovering near 29–32°C during peak heating hours further align with this outcome. The strong market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and low likelihood of significant forecast revisions this late in the day, though localized clear spells or station-specific readings could theoretically shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45,127終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Shenzhen on August 30, reflecting official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and regional models showing suppressed maxima amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain associated with a weakening typhoon circulation.** Multiple sources, including local agency outlooks and international forecasts, consistently project daytime peaks of 27–31°C under these conditions, with limited solar heating preventing the higher values typical of August (climatological highs near 32°C). Current observations hovering near 29–32°C during peak heating hours further align with this outcome. The strong market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and low likelihood of significant forecast revisions this late in the day, though localized clear spells or station-specific readings could theoretically shift the recorded maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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