**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, strongly favor 24°C (60.5% implied probability), followed by 23°C (21.5%) and 25°C (15.5%).** Persistent overcast skies, moderate southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and high humidity have limited daytime heating, keeping the temperature trajectory aligned with the climatological average high of ~24°C. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a maximum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light drizzle, consistent with late-August patterns where solar insolation is moderated by cloud cover rather than clear skies or warm advection. Morning lows around 17–18°C and gradual afternoon rises without significant model divergence support the narrow distribution around these values, with lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflecting the absence of factors that would drive notable warming.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のパリの最高気温は？
8月30日のパリの最高気温は？
24°C 61%
23°C 22%
25°C 16%
22°C 2%
$32,089 Vol.
$32,089 Vol.
2026/08/30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
61%
25°C
16%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 61%
23°C 22%
25°C 16%
22°C 2%
$32,089 Vol.
$32,089 Vol.
2026/08/30
17°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,188 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,588 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,078 Vol.
2%
23°C
$6,227 Vol.
22%
24°C
$5,854 Vol.
61%
25°C
$5,046 Vol.
16%
26°C
$5,339 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$1,632 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, strongly favor 24°C (60.5% implied probability), followed by 23°C (21.5%) and 25°C (15.5%).**
Persistent overcast skies, moderate southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and high humidity have limited daytime heating, keeping the temperature trajectory aligned with the climatological average high of ~24°C. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a maximum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light drizzle, consistent with late-August patterns where solar insolation is moderated by cloud cover rather than clear skies or warm advection. Morning lows around 17–18°C and gradual afternoon rises without significant model divergence support the narrow distribution around these values, with lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflecting the absence of factors that would drive notable warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$32,089終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, strongly favor 24°C (60.5% implied probability), followed by 23°C (21.5%) and 25°C (15.5%).**
Persistent overcast skies, moderate southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and high humidity have limited daytime heating, keeping the temperature trajectory aligned with the climatological average high of ~24°C. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a maximum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light drizzle, consistent with late-August patterns where solar insolation is moderated by cloud cover rather than clear skies or warm advection. Morning lows around 17–18°C and gradual afternoon rises without significant model divergence support the narrow distribution around these values, with lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflecting the absence of factors that would drive notable warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$32,089終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Market-implied odds for the highest temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, strongly favor 24°C (60.5% implied probability), followed by 23°C (21.5%) and 25°C (15.5%).** Persistent overcast skies, moderate southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and high humidity have limited daytime heating, keeping the temperature trajectory aligned with the climatological average high of ~24°C. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on a maximum near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with possible light drizzle, consistent with late-August patterns where solar insolation is moderated by cloud cover rather than clear skies or warm advection. Morning lows around 17–18°C and gradual afternoon rises without significant model divergence support the narrow distribution around these values, with lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflecting the absence of factors that would drive notable warming.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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