**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project an overnight low of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds.** This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but recent days have trended slightly milder due to a stable Atlantic air mass limiting radiative cooling. Multiple ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16–18°C, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C. Clearer skies or a sharper wind shift could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus indicate low odds of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のパリの最低気温は？
8月30日のパリの最低気温は？
17°C 99%
15℃ 1.5%
16℃ 2%
12℃以下 <1%
$7,470 Vol.
$7,470 Vol.
2026/08/30
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
2%
16℃
2%
17°C
99%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
17°C 99%
15℃ 1.5%
16℃ 2%
12℃以下 <1%
$7,470 Vol.
$7,470 Vol.
2026/08/30
12℃以下
$358 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$406 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$158 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$405 Vol.
2%
16℃
$1,149 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,986 Vol.
99%
18℃
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$785 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
22°C以上
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project an overnight low of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds.** This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but recent days have trended slightly milder due to a stable Atlantic air mass limiting radiative cooling. Multiple ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16–18°C, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C. Clearer skies or a sharper wind shift could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus indicate low odds of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$7,470終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project an overnight low of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds.** This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but recent days have trended slightly milder due to a stable Atlantic air mass limiting radiative cooling. Multiple ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16–18°C, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C. Clearer skies or a sharper wind shift could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus indicate low odds of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,470終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project an overnight low of 17°C in Paris on August 30, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate southwest winds.** This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 13–15°C but recent days have trended slightly milder due to a stable Atlantic air mass limiting radiative cooling. Multiple ensemble runs show tight clustering around 16–18°C, supporting the market's 97.5% implied probability for exactly 17°C. Clearer skies or a sharper wind shift could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward 15°C or below, though current observations and model consensus indicate low odds of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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