Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a high near 23°C in Paris on August 31 under persistent cloud cover and moderate westerly winds, which suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 48.5% probability for that outcome. This reflects the seasonal average high of 23.8°C for the date, tempered by recent Atlantic air advection and light precipitation chances that limit solar radiation. Secondary probabilities cluster around 22–24°C because model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns, though minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could nudge results by 1°C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のパリの最高気温は？
8月31日のパリの最高気温は？
23°C 49%
24°C 29%
22°C 14%
25°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
49%
24°C
29%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 29%
22°C 14%
25°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
19°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$191 Vol.
1%
21°C
$401 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,693 Vol.
14%
23°C
$1,968 Vol.
49%
24°C
$1,083 Vol.
29%
25°C
$1,287 Vol.
3%
26°C
$661 Vol.
2%
27°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a high near 23°C in Paris on August 31 under persistent cloud cover and moderate westerly winds, which suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 48.5% probability for that outcome. This reflects the seasonal average high of 23.8°C for the date, tempered by recent Atlantic air advection and light precipitation chances that limit solar radiation. Secondary probabilities cluster around 22–24°C because model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns, though minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could nudge results by 1°C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$7,211終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a high near 23°C in Paris on August 31 under persistent cloud cover and moderate westerly winds, which suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 48.5% probability for that outcome. This reflects the seasonal average high of 23.8°C for the date, tempered by recent Atlantic air advection and light precipitation chances that limit solar radiation. Secondary probabilities cluster around 22–24°C because model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns, though minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could nudge results by 1°C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,211終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a high near 23°C in Paris on August 31 under persistent cloud cover and moderate westerly winds, which suppress daytime heating and align with the market's leading 48.5% probability for that outcome. This reflects the seasonal average high of 23.8°C for the date, tempered by recent Atlantic air advection and light precipitation chances that limit solar radiation. Secondary probabilities cluster around 22–24°C because model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns, though minor shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could nudge results by 1°C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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