**Mild southwesterly airflow and extensive cloud cover overnight are limiting radiative cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on August 30.** Latest Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate an overnight low around 15°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while historical August 30 averages hover near 13°C. Current surface observations show temperatures holding above 16°C into the evening, with dew points near 13–14°C reducing the potential for sharper drops. Traders appear to favor 17°C as the leading outcome due to these conditions and recent model runs emphasizing warmer boundary-layer air, though a brief clear spell could still allow readings near 15°C before dawn. Key resolution hinges on official overnight minimums from London stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のロンドンの最低気温は?
17°C 90%
16°C 40%
15°C 2.6%
14°C <1%
$13,742 Vol.
$13,742 Vol.
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
24%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
17°C 90%
16°C 40%
15°C 2.6%
14°C <1%
$13,742 Vol.
$13,742 Vol.
11°C以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
24%
17°C
73%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Mild southwesterly airflow and extensive cloud cover overnight are limiting radiative cooling, supporting a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on August 30.** Latest Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate an overnight low around 15°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, while historical August 30 averages hover near 13°C. Current surface observations show temperatures holding above 16°C into the evening, with dew points near 13–14°C reducing the potential for sharper drops. Traders appear to favor 17°C as the leading outcome due to these conditions and recent model runs emphasizing warmer boundary-layer air, though a brief clear spell could still allow readings near 15°C before dawn. Key resolution hinges on official overnight minimums from London stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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