**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Busan on August 31 centers on 31–33°C, with 32°C holding the strongest implied probability at 50%.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a daytime high of 32–34°C under generally cloudy skies with periods of rain totaling 30–80 mm, driven by a stationary front interacting with moist southwesterly flow. Cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and evaporative cooling from earlier heavy rains across the southern peninsula are expected to cap daytime heating, keeping temperatures near the lower end of the seasonal range rather than allowing stronger insolation under clearer skies. Recent model consensus and KMA updates have reinforced this moderate outcome, with southwest winds around 5–8 mph and high humidity (70–85%) further limiting peak values. Forecasts from international sources show some spread (roughly 28–31°C in some runs), but the official outlook and recent precipitation patterns anchor market pricing toward 32°C as the most likely resolution. New KMA updates or model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の釜山の最高気温は?
32°C 51%
31°C 24%
33°C 17%
30°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
51%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
32°C 51%
31°C 24%
33°C 17%
30°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
51%
33°C
17%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Busan on August 31 centers on 31–33°C, with 32°C holding the strongest implied probability at 50%.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a daytime high of 32–34°C under generally cloudy skies with periods of rain totaling 30–80 mm, driven by a stationary front interacting with moist southwesterly flow. Cloud cover, widespread precipitation, and evaporative cooling from earlier heavy rains across the southern peninsula are expected to cap daytime heating, keeping temperatures near the lower end of the seasonal range rather than allowing stronger insolation under clearer skies. Recent model consensus and KMA updates have reinforced this moderate outcome, with southwest winds around 5–8 mph and high humidity (70–85%) further limiting peak values. Forecasts from international sources show some spread (roughly 28–31°C in some runs), but the official outlook and recent precipitation patterns anchor market pricing toward 32°C as the most likely resolution. New KMA updates or model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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