Recent forecasts for Busan indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and dew points around 24°C further moderate temperature drops, while model consensus points to partly cloudy conditions overnight rather than clear skies that could push minima lower. Historical late-August baselines show typical minimums near 24°C, with current atmospheric patterns aligning closely but leaving room for small revisions based on final observational data from local stations. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26°C because these factors create genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の釜山の最低気温は?
25°C 27%
24°C 27%
26°C 27%
22°C 26%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 27%
24°C 27%
26°C 27%
22°C 26%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Busan indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and dew points around 24°C further moderate temperature drops, while model consensus points to partly cloudy conditions overnight rather than clear skies that could push minima lower. Historical late-August baselines show typical minimums near 24°C, with current atmospheric patterns aligning closely but leaving room for small revisions based on final observational data from local stations. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26°C because these factors create genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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