Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 31 highlights a moderating airmass with initial northerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting surface heating and supporting a high near 79°F—aligning with the near-even market-implied probabilities for the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Historical climatology places the average high at 81°F, yet persistent humidity, light southeast winds by afternoon, and a slight morning shower risk introduce variability around peak readings at Central Park. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow resolution thresholds, as small shifts in insolation or timing of any convection could tip the daily maximum between the tightly contested leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月31日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80～81°F 42%
78〜79°F 36%
82〜83°F 13%
76〜77°F 7%
新規
$10,322 Vol.
新規
$10,322 Vol.
2026/08/31
華氏73度以下
<1%
74〜75°F
3%
76〜77°F
7%
78〜79°F
36%
80～81°F
42%
82〜83°F
13%
84〜85°F
4%
86～87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92°F以上
<1%
80～81°F 42%
78〜79°F 36%
82〜83°F 13%
76〜77°F 7%
新規
$10,322 Vol.
新規
$10,322 Vol.
2026/08/31
華氏73度以下
$289 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$212 Vol.
3%
76〜77°F
$551 Vol.
7%
78〜79°F
$1,965 Vol.
36%
80～81°F
$3,434 Vol.
42%
82〜83°F
$978 Vol.
13%
84〜85°F
$1,278 Vol.
4%
86～87°F
$270 Vol.
<1%
88〜89°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
90〜91°F
$325 Vol.
<1%
92°F以上
$678 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 31 highlights a moderating airmass with initial northerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting surface heating and supporting a high near 79°F—aligning with the near-even market-implied probabilities for the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Historical climatology places the average high at 81°F, yet persistent humidity, light southeast winds by afternoon, and a slight morning shower risk introduce variability around peak readings at Central Park. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow resolution thresholds, as small shifts in insolation or timing of any convection could tip the daily maximum between the tightly contested leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$10,322終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 31 highlights a moderating airmass with initial northerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting surface heating and supporting a high near 79°F—aligning with the near-even market-implied probabilities for the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Historical climatology places the average high at 81°F, yet persistent humidity, light southeast winds by afternoon, and a slight morning shower risk introduce variability around peak readings at Central Park. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow resolution thresholds, as small shifts in insolation or timing of any convection could tip the daily maximum between the tightly contested leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,322終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 31 highlights a moderating airmass with initial northerly flow and partial cloud cover, limiting surface heating and supporting a high near 79°F—aligning with the near-even market-implied probabilities for the 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins. Historical climatology places the average high at 81°F, yet persistent humidity, light southeast winds by afternoon, and a slight morning shower risk introduce variability around peak readings at Central Park. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow resolution thresholds, as small shifts in insolation or timing of any convection could tip the daily maximum between the tightly contested leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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