Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low of 69–72°F for New York City on August 31, driven by light variable winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the recent pattern of near- or slightly above-normal temperatures, following a period of scattered showers and humid air masses. The market-implied odds heavily favor the 70–73°F range, reflecting trader consensus on these stable conditions rather than any sharp cool-down from a passing front. Historical averages for late August lows near 66°F provide context, but current guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
8月31日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
72〜73°F 48%
70～71°F 34%
68〜69°F 7%
華氏74〜75度 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
華氏65度以下
2%
66〜67°F
4%
68〜69°F
7%
70～71°F
34%
72〜73°F
48%
華氏74〜75度
6%
76〜77°F
3%
78～79°F
1%
80〜81°F
1%
82〜83°F
1%
華氏84度以上
1%
72〜73°F 48%
70～71°F 34%
68〜69°F 7%
華氏74〜75度 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
華氏65度以下
$100 Vol.
2%
66〜67°F
$40 Vol.
4%
68〜69°F
$95 Vol.
7%
70～71°F
$223 Vol.
34%
72〜73°F
$804 Vol.
48%
華氏74〜75度
$8 Vol.
6%
76〜77°F
$101 Vol.
3%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
1%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
1%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
華氏84度以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low of 69–72°F for New York City on August 31, driven by light variable winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the recent pattern of near- or slightly above-normal temperatures, following a period of scattered showers and humid air masses. The market-implied odds heavily favor the 70–73°F range, reflecting trader consensus on these stable conditions rather than any sharp cool-down from a passing front. Historical averages for late August lows near 66°F provide context, but current guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$1,370終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low of 69–72°F for New York City on August 31, driven by light variable winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the recent pattern of near- or slightly above-normal temperatures, following a period of scattered showers and humid air masses. The market-implied odds heavily favor the 70–73°F range, reflecting trader consensus on these stable conditions rather than any sharp cool-down from a passing front. Historical averages for late August lows near 66°F provide context, but current guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,370終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low of 69–72°F for New York City on August 31, driven by light variable winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the recent pattern of near- or slightly above-normal temperatures, following a period of scattered showers and humid air masses. The market-implied odds heavily favor the 70–73°F range, reflecting trader consensus on these stable conditions rather than any sharp cool-down from a passing front. Historical averages for late August lows near 66°F provide context, but current guidance shows little deviation expected before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings overnight will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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