Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1, 2026, center on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime typical of early autumn transition. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with historical September lows averaging around 18–20 °C providing context. Small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, or minor cloud intrusions could shift the exact overnight minimum by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C versus lower odds for cooler or warmer thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の北京の最低気温は？
9月1日の北京の最低気温は？
17°C 45%
16°C 44%
20°C 44%
21°C 44%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
13°C or below
6%
14°C
14%
15°C
41%
16°C
44%
17°C
45%
18°C
41%
19°C
38%
20°C
44%
21°C
44%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 44%
20°C 44%
21°C 44%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
41%
16°C
$0 Vol.
44%
17°C
$0 Vol.
45%
18°C
$0 Vol.
41%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
44%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1, 2026, center on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime typical of early autumn transition. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with historical September lows averaging around 18–20 °C providing context. Small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, or minor cloud intrusions could shift the exact overnight minimum by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C versus lower odds for cooler or warmer thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1, 2026, center on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime typical of early autumn transition. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with historical September lows averaging around 18–20 °C providing context. Small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, or minor cloud intrusions could shift the exact overnight minimum by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C versus lower odds for cooler or warmer thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1, 2026, center on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime typical of early autumn transition. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with historical September lows averaging around 18–20 °C providing context. Small differences in forecast dew points, boundary-layer mixing, or minor cloud intrusions could shift the exact overnight minimum by 1–2 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 18 °C and 19 °C versus lower odds for cooler or warmer thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and final model runs ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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